Okay, so I decided to spend some time trying to figure out the Yankees vs Orioles game today. It’s always a big matchup in the AL East, and I like to see if I can get a feel for how it might play out.

My Process: Step-by-Step
First thing I did was pull up the current standings. You gotta know where both teams sit, right? See who’s got momentum overall in the division race. It gives you a baseline.
Then, I looked at their recent games. Not just wins and losses, but how they’ve been winning or losing. Were they blowouts? Close games? Scoring a lot? Pitching shutouts? I checked their last five to ten games to get a sense of their current form. Sometimes a team is hot, sometimes they’re ice cold, doesn’t always match their season record perfectly.
Next up, probably the most important part for me, is the starting pitching matchup. I found out who was scheduled to be on the mound for both the Yankees and the Orioles. That’s crucial. I didn’t just look at their season stats like ERA or WHIP, although I did check those. I specifically looked at their last few starts. How deep did they go into the game? How many strikeouts? Did they get knocked around? A pitcher’s recent performance tells you a lot more than just their season-long numbers sometimes.
After checking the starters, I turned my attention to the lineups and hitting. Who’s swinging a hot bat? Are the big guns like Judge or Soto hitting for the Yankees? How about the young guys like Henderson or Rutschman for the O’s? I looked at recent batting averages and key offensive stats for both teams. I also quickly checked the injury reports. You need to know if a key player is sitting out, that can change everything.
Putting It Together
Okay, so I had the standings, recent form, pitching matchup details, and lineup status. Now I started weighing things:

- Does one team have a clear pitching advantage today based on recent starts?
- Is one lineup significantly hotter than the other right now?
- How have these two teams played against each other recently? I tried to recall their last series or check the head-to-head results for this season. Sometimes one team just has another’s number.
- I briefly considered the ballpark – Camden Yards or Yankee Stadium – though both teams are pretty familiar with each other’s parks. Weather wasn’t a huge factor today, looked pretty clear.
So, I mulled it over. Maybe the Yankees had the better starter on paper, but the Orioles lineup looked really dangerous lately, especially at home. Or perhaps the Yankees bullpen has been lockdown while the Orioles’ has been shaky. It’s usually a balancing act.
Based on all that stuff I looked at – the pitchers’ recent form, who seemed to be hitting better over the last week, and the home-field situation – I started leaning one way. It felt like the Orioles had a slight edge because they were playing well offensively and were at home, even if the Yankees pitcher looked solid.
So, my prediction ended up being a close win for the Orioles. Felt like they might just out-hit the Yankees in this specific game, despite the pitching matchup looking even or slightly favoring New York on paper initially. You know how baseball goes, though. That’s just my take after digging into it. Anything can happen once the first pitch is thrown!