Okay, so I’ve been diving deep into tennis stats lately, trying to get a better edge on my predictions. Today, I decided to tackle the Ben Shelton vs. Karatsev match-up. Here’s how it went down:

Digging into Recent Performance
First things first, I needed to see how these guys have been playing recently.
I started by checking out their performance on similar surfaces. Shelton’s been a beast on hard courts, which gave me something to think about. Karatsev, on the other hand, has had a bit of a mixed bag, some good wins, some tough losses. It is all so unclear,right?
Head-to-Head History (Or Lack Thereof)
Next, I wanted to find their head-to-head record. Turns out, they haven’t played each other before! This made things trickier, no direct comparison to go on. I feel a little frustrated.
Style Clash
I watched some of their recent match footage. Shelton’s got this huge serve and aggressive style, while Karatsev is more of a counter-puncher, really solid from the baseline. I had to figure out which style would dominate.
- Ben Shelton: Big serve, aggressive, likes to dictate.
- Aslan Karatsev: Solid baseline game, counter-puncher, consistent.
Crunching the Numbers
I started looking at things like service hold percentages, break point conversion rates, and performance against players with similar styles. I spent hours, literally hours, with all numbers and tables.

My Gut Feeling
After all that research, I was still on the fence! Both guys have a shot. But, I had this nagging feeling that Shelton’s aggressive style, especially if he’s serving well, could give Karatsev some real * is like throwing a dice.
The Prediction (Finally!)
So, I made a prediction. I went with Shelton, but not with a ton of confidence. I figured it’d be a close match, probably going to three sets.I hope I am right!
Putting It to the Test
I’m going to track the match and see how my prediction pans out. It’s all part of the learning process, right? Win or lose, I’ll have more data to refine my future predictions. Hopefully, I can do better next time.