Okay, so I’ve been really hyped about the potential Khamzat Chimaev vs Paulo Costa fight. Naturally, as someone who follows MMA closely, I got curious about the betting odds. Wanted to see what the folks setting the lines thought about this matchup.

My first step was pretty straightforward. Just grabbed my phone and did a quick search. Typed in something like “Chimaev Costa odds” to see what popped up. Expected to see numbers right away.
Found a bunch of sports news sites talking about the fight, which was cool, confirmed the buzz was real. But getting actual, solid odds wasn’t immediate. Some places had preliminary lines, others just discussed who might be favored.
Digging a Bit Deeper
So, I figured I needed to check the places that actually handle bets. I went over to a couple of the big sportsbook sites I know about. Didn’t log in or anything, just wanted to see their listed odds for UFC fights.
- Checked one popular site. Found the UFC section, looked for upcoming fights. Sometimes they list potential matchups even before they’re official.
- Then hopped over to another well-known one. Did the same thing. Compared what I saw.
- Noticed some slight differences in the numbers, which is pretty normal. Different books have different opinions, I guess.
What I found consistently, though, was Chimaev being the favorite. You’d see his name with a minus sign (-) next to a number, meaning you’d have to bet more to win a certain amount. Costa, on the other hand, usually had a plus sign (+), indicating he was the underdog – bet less to win more, if he pulls off the upset.
It made sense, given Khamzat’s run, but Costa’s power is always a factor, right? So seeing him as the underdog wasn’t a huge shock, but the odds definitely showed respect for Chimaev’s momentum.

My Takeaway
Going through this little exercise didn’t take long, maybe 10-15 minutes. It was interesting to see the initial market perception. It confirmed Chimaev was expected to win, at least in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
It’s always good to check a few different sources if you’re curious about odds, ’cause they aren’t always identical. For me, it wasn’t about placing a bet, just about getting a feel for how the fight was being sized up. Added another layer to my anticipation for seeing these two finally clash in the octagon. Now, just gotta wait for the official announcement and see how those lines might shift as fight night gets closer.