Alright, so I saw the Hurkacz versus Baez matchup pop up on the schedule. First thing, naturally, I thought, “Okay, interesting contrast in styles here.” You got Hubi with that massive serve and reach, and then Baez, the grinder, especially on the dirt.

So, I started digging a bit. Didn’t go super deep into crazy stats, just looked at their recent runs. My process usually starts simple. What have they been up to lately?
- Checked Hurkacz’s last few tournaments. Saw his results, noticed the surfaces he played on. Was he consistent? Any surprising losses or big wins?
- Did the same for Baez. Obviously, looked closely at his clay court performance since that’s his bread and butter. How was he moving? Was he winning those tough, long rallies?
Then, I thought about the head-to-head. Have these guys played before? Sometimes that gives you a clue, sometimes not. Players evolve, right? I quickly checked that. Saw if there was a pattern, who won, and importantly, what surface those matches were on. Surface is huge for these two, probably more than for many others.
Thinking About the Matchup Itself
Okay, after checking the basics, I just sat and thought about how the match might actually play out. It’s less about numbers now and more about feel.
I pictured Hurkacz trying to keep points short with his serve and forehand. Can he land enough first serves? Because if he doesn’t, Baez is gonna get into rallies, and that’s where Baez thrives. He makes you hit so many balls.
Then I thought about Baez’s side. How does he handle a huge server like Hubi? Can he get enough returns back in play? Can he absorb the pace and use his movement to turn defense into offense? That little guy fights for everything.

I also considered the tournament context. Is it a big event? Early rounds or later stages? Sometimes that affects motivation or nerves. How have they typically performed under these specific conditions?
Didn’t use any fancy models or anything. Just looked at recent form, the surface, their styles, and tried to visualize the flow of the match based on past observations. Pulled up some highlights of their recent matches just to get a visual reminder of their current game state. You know, just watching how they moved, their body language.
Basically, pieced together these different bits – recent results, the surface factor, how their games clash, and a bit of gut feeling based on watching them play over the years. That’s how I landed on my view for this one.